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So what is up with this ‘Bayesian’ analysis stuff

So what is up with this ‘Bayesian’ analysis stuff

So what is up with this ‘Bayesian’ analysis stuff

podcast episode with speaker Chris Jackson

Some of you may have heard of ‘Bayesian analysis.’ You may think this is something fancy that only universities do. Or something we never do because it is all about ‘best guesses.’ Well … neither of these things are true.

Why would you be interested in Bayesian analysis? Simple. It allows you to use EVERY PIECE OF INFORMATION you have. This can be expert judgment. Or it can be test data on a similar ‘thing.’ Or it could be combining test data for one part of your ‘thing’ combined with test data for ‘all of your thing.’ [Read more…]

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The Reliability Value Map. It is a thing.

The Reliability Value Map. It is a thing.

The Reliability Value Map. It is a thing.

podcast episode with speaker Chris Jackson

If reliability engineering costs you money, then you are doing it wrong. But chances are that someone you work for looks at reliability engineering as a black hole of costs. This needs to stop!

Reliability engineering is about creating value. Or money. Or more missions. Or safety. But it would help if you showed how this will happen. [Read more…]

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Enbridge CRE 2020 Course

Enbridge CRE 2020 Course

Welcome to the ASQ Certified Reliability Engineer (CRE) Exam Preparation Course

This course is exclusively offered to Enbridge employees.

If already registered for the course, please login to view course materials.

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Course Overview

  • This online class provides an overview of the CRE Body of Knowledge with lectures, discussions, guided self-study and review of previous CRE exam questions.
  • This classroom allows participants to actively participate by drawing on the virtual whiteboard, asking questions on the mic or webchat, taking polls, sharing desktops, and webcam capability.  Imagine following a lecture, highlighting or circling your problem areas on the virtual whiteboard, or even presenting tough CRE questions to be answered.  You can even e-mail questions to be answered in the next class!
  • If you are unable to make the live class, or want to re-view videos from past sessions, you may do so by clicking any course date in the Course Archive (available here as the course progresses).
  • This course is designed to supplement the knowledge of the individual having met the requirements for certification and is not designed to teach the entire body of knowledge.

CRE Exam Prerequisites

  • You must have eight years of on-the-job experience in one or more of the areas of the Certified Reliability Engineer Body of Knowledge. A minimum of three years of this experience must be in a decision-making position. “Decision-making” is defined as the authority to define, execute, or control projects/processes and to be responsible for the outcome. This may or may not include management or supervisory positions.
  • If you are now or were previously certified by ASQ as a Quality Engineer, Quality Auditor, Software Quality Engineer, or Quality Manager, experience used to qualify for certification in these fields often applies to certification as a Reliability Engineer.
  • If you have completed a degree from a college, university, or technical school with accreditation accepted by ASQ, part of the eight-year experience requirement will be waived. Please consult the details on the ASQ website, http://asq.org/cert/quality-engineer/right-for-you, or call 800-248-1946.
  • Register for the CRE exam separately at www.asq.org. Introductory courses in Statistics, Statistical analysis, Risk Analysis, FMEA and Reliability are advisable if you have not covered those topics in depth previously.

Instructor Bio

Chris Jackson-300x400Chris Jackson can help you with a range of reliability engineering issues and problems.

Chris has a PhD in Reliability Engineering and has been the Director of UCLA’s Center for Reliability and Resilience Engineering (CRRE) … so he can help you with the higher-level theory of reliability probability, modeling and statistics.

He was an officer in the Australian Army where he (amongst other things) led hundreds of engineers and technicians to support multi-million dollar fleets of equipment … so he knows how the operational management side works.

He has also consulted to many clients for many different issues … so he knows about organizational reliability management issues.

Chris has been a project manager for a number of government projects … which means he is well versed on the realities of materiel contract management. He has published multiple textbooks including ‘Reliability Engineering and Management’ (https://www.amazon.com/Reliability-Engineering-Management-Christopher-Jackson-ebook/dp/B071LGDYQG).

He founded UCLA’s Center for the Safety and Reliability of Autonomous Systems (SARAS … www.saras.ucla.edu)

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Risk of Ransomware Attacks on Local Government

Risk of Ransomware Attacks on Local Government

Guest Post by James Kline (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

In several previous Risk Insights, I discussed the need to view state and local government computer network as part of the national infrastructure.  This was needed because of the importance of the networks in providing and supporting basic services.  Further, by viewing these networks as part of the national infrastructure they become an important part of the overall federal effort to protect and defend the nation’s computer infrastructure.  This issue is so important that another paper is appropriate.  This piece extends the prior two pieces. [Read more…]

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What You Need to Know About MTBF

What You Need to Know About MTBF

What You Need to Know About MTBF

podcast episode with speaker Chris Jackson

MTBF stands for ‘mean time between failure.’ This sounds intuitively easy to understand. But … if you haven’t taken the time to understand MTBF, and your organization relies on the reliability of its products, you are almost certainly in trouble. [Read more…]

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Autonomous Vehicle Regulation – Could Less Actually Be More?

Autonomous Vehicle Regulation – Could Less Actually Be More?

Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) are still futuristic – but there are plenty of people are thinking about them and what they would mean – particularly as they relate to safety.

And when they do, they invariably think about how vehicles are currently regulated as a starting point. We envisage perhaps more regulation, standards and rules – because AVs are more complex and complicated. But for every regulation, standard and rule, we take responsibility away from the manufacturer.

Why?

Because all the manufacturer needs to do is ensure that their AV meets each regulation, standard and rule for them to not be liable for subsequent accidents (this is a simplistic interpretation to be sure … but satisfactory for the sake of this article).

Is this desirable?

Is this possible? [Read more…]

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Autonomous Vehicle Regulation

Autonomous Vehicle Regulation

could less actually be more?

Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) are still futuristic – but there are plenty of people are thinking about them and what they would mean – particularly as they relate to safety. And when they do, they invariably think about how vehicles are currently regulated as a starting point.

We envisage perhaps more autonomous vehicle regulation, standards and rules – because AVs are more complex and complicated. But for every regulation, standard and rule, we take responsibility away from the manufacturer.

Why? Because all the manufacturer needs to do is ensure that their AV meets each regulation, standard and rule for them to not be liable for subsequent accidents (this is a simplistic interpretation to be sure … but satisfactory for the sake of this article).

Is this desirable? Is this possible?

[Read more…]

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The 5 Worst Inventions Ever!

The 5 Worst Inventions Ever!

Something to Make You Smile on a Monday!

Something light to read on a Monday afternoon.

I’m beginning think that one of the worst side effects of growing older has nothing to do with the fact that you are not as active as you should be, but that you spend that time where you should have been walking, running, riding a bike or chasing the kids thinking about crap that might have little significance to the rest of the world. [Read more…]

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Fundamentals of HALT

Fundamentals of HALT

An Introduction, Basic Steps, and Examples of How HALT Goes Wrong

HALT promises to find the weaknesses in your design early in the design process. Understanding the basic concepts underlying HALT enables you to do so effectively. Let’s discuss this essential discovery tool and how it fits into your program.
[Read more…]

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The 10 Worst Things About Business Travel

The 10 Worst Things About Business Travel

Today article is one of those off-topic things I just felt compelled to write about. It also has a bit of the sarcasm us New Yorkers are famous for, but I’m betting the other business travelers will be able to relate!

With my work comes travel and in the last 15 years, I have seen a fair amount of the world.

Let me rephrase that, I have seen a fair amount of the world’s airports, hotels, manufacturing facilities, and restaurants.

Along the way, I have met some very good people, learned a whole lot about how different products are made or produced and discovered for myself that no matter where you live, where you grew up, or what you do, everyone still wants the simple things in life: a secure job, a roof over their head, and to be afforded the time to both provide for and enjoy raising a family. [Read more…]

Reliability in Emerging Technology Subscriber Welcome

Reliability in Emerging Technology Subscriber Welcome

Thank you for Subscribing to the Reliability in Emerging Technology list

Check email inbox for the confirmation or welcome message.

Once you confirm your subscription you will receive a link to download the 122-page eBook, Small Satellites, Emerging Technology and Big Opportunities: The Reliability of new, Awesome Things.

You can expect to receive occasional notices of new articles posted, upcoming webinars, and seminar appearances primarily by me, Chris.

Please add fms@accendoreliability.com and chris.jackson@acuitas.com to your whitelist to make sure you receive the notices you just requested.

Here’s some more content that you may find of interest:

Reliability Engineering and Management coverReliability Engineering Management

Kindle, 2017

Chris Jackson

This is a textbook that covers both the engineering and management elements of reliable systems. Reliability is an inherently complex field of study, and it is not easy to apply technically or manage practically. This textbook is aimed at both the managers of reliability teams and reliability teams themselves. Many historical catastrophes caused by human-made systems failing are caused by organizational shortcomings.

This book is intended to be a ‘living’ and ‘breathing’ book, continually updated in electronic form to incorporate new and emerging trends in the field.

Speaking of Reliability

Let us address your reliability engineering questions. Gain the experience of your peers and accelerate the improvement of your program and career.

Listen, comment, send questions, join the discussion.

The links here are for the SOR episodes that Chris co-hosted

 

Reliability in Emerging Technology

The only thing that doesn’t change is change itself. We are constantly exposed to new and better products, services that are more efficient, and things that generally make our lives better.

But how long will they work for? … and will they be safe?

So what are we to do? The answer involves a healthy dose of historic ‘reliability-principles’ with a blend of tailored approaches that goes (well and truly) beyond a ‘checklist’ or ‘compliance’ approach. So how do we get that mix right? That is the question.

Enjoy,

Chris

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Identifying Parts Obsolescence Early

Identifying Parts Obsolescence Early

One aspect of creating a new product or system is the sourcing of parts, components, and materials.

Gone are the days of your organization providing every element of the final product. Henry Ford’s supply chain for early Ford automobiles includes their own forests, rubber plantations, and iron ore mines. [Gelderman, 1981]

We increasingly rely on the supply chain to create the necessary parts for the design’s functionality. Then to continue to supply those same parts for decades, in some cases. [Read more…]