
Why “Good Enough” Assumptions Often Are
Co-authored with Mike Vella
If you’ve spent any time working with real manufacturing, reliability, or field data, you already know an uncomfortable truth:
Most statistical models assume ideal conditions that rarely exist in practice.
Textbooks often begin with assumptions like perfectly normal distributions, clean random samples, and well-behaved processes. Meanwhile, engineers are dealing with skewed cycle times, mixed populations, censored failure data, process shifts, and the occasional mystery outlier that refuses to explain itself.
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