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Home » Blog

by Fred Schenkelberg 5 Comments

Upcoming live online CRE Prep course

Learn more and register for the CRE Prep course here. (registration is closed at this time)

Overview

  • This online class provides an overview of Body Of Knowledge with guided self-study by the student, review of previous CRE exam questions, hands on-line approach.
  • This virtual classroom allows participants to actively participate by drawing on the virtual whiteboard, asking questions on the mic or web chat, taking polls, sharing desktops, and webcam capability.  Imagine following a lecture, highlighting or circling your problem areas on the virtual whiteboard, or even presenting tough CRE questions to be answered.  You can even e-mail questions to be answered in the next class!
  • If you are unable to make the live class or want to re-view videos from past sessions, you may do so by clicking any course date in the Course Archive.
  • This course is designed to supplement the knowledge of the individual having met the requirements for certification and is not designed to teach the entire body of knowledge.

The course is 16 two hour sessions – a mix of lecture, discussion and Q&A that focused on what you need to know to pass the ASQ CRE exam. Sure, beyond the course you will need to study. This involved practicing sample exam questions, using your references and calculator, and practicing finding answers quickly.

We discuss ways to study along with any issues or ideas you have as you prepare for the exam.

*Note: These online classes will be Archived and you will be able to access them later even if you cannot make it to the Live class session!  This means you may watch them again in case you forget something, miss a class, or can’t make it one day.  Saturdays may be scheduled with the instructor for extra sessions or make-up classes if needed.  

Mondays, July 13 – August 17, 2015 (3:00PM-5:00PM PDT)

Last Session for questions, September 21 and 28, 2015 (3:00PM-5:00PM PDT) 

This class ends prior to the semi-annual ASQ Section testing, where everyone may sign-up through their local Section to take their test.  Be sure to check out the ASQ website to get the early-bird rate before the end of this course!

Looking forward to seeing you in the course. And, of course, at any time, feel free to ask questions here, or in the CRE Preparation LinkedIn group.

Learn more and register for the CRE Prep course here.

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Prep, CRE Preparation Notes

by Fred Schenkelberg 4 Comments

Lognormal Distribution

Lognormal Distribution

Similar to the Weibull distribution yet with slightly heavier tails. While not as easy to interpret if the data shows early life or wear out features, the lognormal distribution often fits time to repair data accurately.

Transform the data by taking the natural log of each data point. The resulting values tend to be normally distributed if the original data fits a lognormal distribution.

You can use base 10 or base 2 or any base and the results will still tend to be normally distributed. It is common to use natural log, ln(). [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Reliability and Worst Case Analysis

Reliability and Worst Case Analysis

Worst-case tolerance analysis is the starting point when creating a tolerance specification.

It is a conservative approach as it only considers the maximum or minimum values of part variation—whichever leads to the worst situation. Setting tolerances such that the system will function given the expected variation of manufactured components improves that ability of the system to perform reliably.

In the worst-case method, you simply add the dimensions using the extreme values for those dimensions. Thus, if a part is specified at 25 ± 0.1 mm, then use either 25.1 or 24.9 mm, whichever leads to the most unfavorable situation.

The actual range of variation should be the measured values from a stable process. It may be based on vendor claims for process variation, industry standards, or engineering judgment. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Tolerance analysis

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

The Poisson Distribution

The Poisson Distribution

A discreet distribution useful when counting events within a time period.

It models rates, such as the number of gophers in your garden, paint scratches on your car, or the number of shopping carts that arrive in the 5 minutes before you in line. Essentially it’s the count of something over a time period or defined area. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg 3 Comments

The Exponential Distribution

The Exponential Distribution

The exponential distribution is a model for items with a constant failure rate (which very rarely occurs).

If the chance of failure is the same each hour (or cycle, etc.), including the first hour, 100th hour, and 1 millionth hour or use, then the exponential distribution is suitable.

Many practitioners assume the failure rate either is constant or changes so little as to be essential constant in order to make reliability calculations simpler. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg 7 Comments

Reliability Questions for the Drone Industry

Reliability Questions for the Drone Industry

FPV quadcopter by Steve Lodefink
FPV quadcopter by Steve LodefinkIn a few Twitter conversations, I’ve learned about the perceived lack of reliability of commercially available quadcopter or drones.

And, being encouraged to write a paper or two on drone reliability. Now that Amazon has a delivery drone patent, and industrial applications continue to announced daily, there is a need for serious reliability in these devices.

The early adopters and explorers in any nascent industry generally discover the many design faults including reliability issues. That is common.

As the drone industry develops, improving product reliability becomes a business necessity. For industrial application it is essential. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

How to Be Deliberately Proactive

How to Be Deliberately Proactive

It is not enough to simply state your organization has a proactive stance concerning reliability. It more than running a few tests or thinking about reliability before the product ships or the equipment is installed.

It is a way of doing business.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

Point and Interval Estimates

Point and Interval Estimates

A point estimate of the mean of a population is determined by calculating the mean of a sample drawn from the population. The calculation of the mean is the sum of all sample values divided by the number of values. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Confidence interval or bound

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

Reliability Questions to Ask During a Review

Reliability Questions to Ask During a Review

Asking the right question is important.

During a review meeting (informal or formal) asking a few reliability questions may reveal weaknesses, strengths, or uncertainty. The design team has many priorities and reliability is often difficult to estimate, yet knowing what is and isn’t known provides a clear picture of risks for decision makers.

If you are a decision maker and need to ascertain the reliability risks of the current design, then asking a couple of questions may provide just the insights you need. It also conveys that reliability is on your mind and that you want to have answers that are meaningful and well thought out.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Reliability goal setting

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

The Mean, Median, and Mode

The Mean, Median, and Mode

The basic measures of central tendency are mean, median, and mode.

Given a collection of data, a common question is about where the data resides. Knowing the center or mid-point or average is a starting point as we consider the data. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

What to Specify with Suppliers to Achieve Reliability Goals

What to Specify with Suppliers to Achieve Reliability Goals

Selecting a supplier for components or subsystems involves many aspects including the desired reliability performance.

Once selected the ability of the supplier to provide items that meet or exceed the reliability requirements relies on their understanding of the requirements and operational conditions related to the specific item within the system. It also relies on the supplier’s knowledge of their own design and manufacturing processes as it related to the reliability performance. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Reliability goal setting

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Is this FMEA good?

Is this FMEA good?

It is rare that a third party generated FMEA/FMECA has any value. The development or manufacturing teams and supporting staff should comprise the bulk of the study’s team. Team size for a specific study would include 4 to 10 individuals.

The FMEA/FMECA should provide clear action items that may include:

Conduct research or experiments to understand and quantify uncertainty. This may include exploring how an item responds to specific stress, errors or inputs. Or include experiments to estimate the occurrence rating for a specific potential cause of a failure mode. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA)

by Fred Schenkelberg 21 Comments

Using The Exponential Distribution Reliability Function

Using The Exponential Distribution Reliability Function

It may be possible to pass the CRE exam knowing one formula.

The math elements of the exam may take a bit of time to solve, and knowing reliability statistics well is a good plan heading into the exam. Knowing the exponential distribution reliability function is one that you should memorize. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg 4 Comments

Preventive Maintenance Goals and Activities

Preventive Maintenance Goals and Activities

Preventive Maintenance or PM is a set of inspections and tasks that help prevent equipment from failing. Keeping equipment operating improves plant capacity and throughput. Avoiding unwanted downtime helps the plant avoid unnecessary expenses and lost productivity.

Checking the oil level in your car’s engine and adding more as needed, along with regular oil changes are examples of PMs. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Maintainability and Availability Tagged With: Preventive Maintenance (PM)

by Fred Schenkelberg 1 Comment

Uncovering Hidden Field Failure Problems

Uncovering Hidden Field Failure Problems

A reliable product does not fail often. Customers expect to a level of reliability performance and failures that occur too early dash their expectation.

The design and development team work to create a robust product. To meet the customer’s reliability expectations. The team may use a range of tools to detect any reliability problem prior to launch.

Yet, customers do uncover problems that surprise us. This may be a problem with how we identify and resolve risks, yet it could also be the development process didn’t look close enough to find the issues. Or, worse, we saw the issue and ignored it. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability

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